Bernd 11/05/2017 (Sun) 10:22:17 No. 11713 del
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So, what do arpege models say? That there should be a small active warm core cyclone detached from the cold and warm fronts developing under this big mass of cold air. Far from a hurricane, but it functions the same.

Gifs are wind field, pressure field, cloud cover and precipitation prognoses (not necessarily in this order).