01/28/2018 (Sun) 09:32:24
>>13361>I think giving parts from a country to another never was a possibility we discussed the myth of the sanctity of the current borders elsewhere
Yes, it is 2018 and changing borders is no-no. But they can easily make multiple "autonomous regions" or something that will be technically independent. Concept of self-proclaimed states, like Transnistria, is working, and may work for long time.
So, if situation wouldn't change much, there will be "real" Syria with Assad (and international community will shit on him every year, but who cares), Kurdish/SDF-controlled region in northwest with great autonomy and Turksh-controlled region in North too. Although every actor in this play tries to cut more good things for himself, so everything may change.>But a Kurdish dominated autonomous region would endanger Turkey herself.
Main problem that this region already exists as result of current war. So now Turkey has few choices: 1) allow Assad to control it again 2) control it by itself 3) do nothing.
First is not so good because Assad isn't friendly to Turkey, and he may allow Kurds to be half-independent to prevent another conflict. Americans also don't want to give this to Syria or Turkey, and Assad has no power, he already has large amount of problems without Kurds.
Second is best: Turks install some "free government" with controlled "FSA" people, and can control border and local customs heavily. It will be problematic region, but at least somewhat controlled.
Third is more honest (don't messing with this shit at all), but creates hostile autonomous region without any control, even without Assad who can try pacify the Kurds. Turkey surely doesn't want it.