>>46259
There are other issues with his take: ukraine is indeed little more than a fake state, notwithstanding the vigorous ukranization policies and accompanying creationing myths of the last several years; he nonchalantly name-drops the "attack on Navalny", which is a deliberately ambiguous reference to either the alleged poisoning of which Germany never provided evidence, or his imprisonment for breaching the bail, in which case the term is tendentious; he says that the donbass rebels were "unleashed" by Russia and slides in the suggestion that the ceasefire violations came only from donbas, which is false; when discussing policies of ukraine unfriendly to russia, I think he forgot to mention a significant one in the language regulations which attack russian while exempt, for example, english or language of EU, like italian or dutch or basque; he calls Yakunovich corrupt but doesn't say anything about Yushchenko's NED-related windfall; and I could mention other nitpicks too.
But ok, while I don't really know him, I'd guess his subscribers might be some mix of US and Europe-based independents or anti-wars or non-establishment dissident types from left and right, so he basically mixes some redpills with some bluepills to try and satisfy most of his paying readers
But to me the really glaring hole in his analysis is the weapons race/control situation (I hinted at this above): In recent years US has unilaterally withdrawn from several bilateral military treaties, which have de-facto ushered an incipient arms race. Also us has made overtures towards the deployment of what they call "defensive" missile systems in eastern europe including the ukraine. Obviously this raises eyebrows in russia. Also, at the moment russia seems to have a slight advantage in the development of hypersonics, but it's quite likely that this won't last long, and considering the vast size of USA's economy and military budget it's almost certain that when they do catch up they will also overtake. This means that russia has a limited window of opportunity for leveraged negotiations in this respect.
I'm pretty sure all that hinges together with the nato-expansion negotiations and the usa-china-russia trilateral balancing act (russia and china are not allies, which means this also becomes a point of negotiation wrt usa's designs for the world)

>>46255
Are you superstitious? Couple of weeks ago there was windstorm over the ukraine
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