Bernd 11/17/2024 (Sun) 21:17 No.52583 del
Thinking about what this Trump victory could mean to Hungary. Fidesz/govt media sells it as the next best thing ever, here's the Canaan, hallelujah, we win and all that.
I'm skeptical about this. Orbán likes to talk about how there is a struggle between "decoupling" and "connectivity" within the EU. Former means cutting off ties to certain countries, Russia, China for starter, but essentially could mean everyone who aligned to them. And connectivity means keeping relations and trade with them, not just have a closeted gay club within The West, but to be open to The Rest.
Sidenote: Orbán and co. likes to call the first solution as "globalist", while keeping up with global trade with everyone is not it in their books.
But back to the matter at hand. Trump promoting a trade war with Chiner, does not help with the connectivity as Orbán dreams it for us. And frankly "ending the war on the Ukraine" might also not pan out how expected. Will the trade be restored with Russia? Won't be purchasing cheap gas from them frowned upon? Trump was against the Nord Stream pipeline, I'm pretty sure he won't advocate for restoring it. He wants Europe to buy American gas, or from someone that suits to their foreign politics and economy.
Russia and China remains a competitor for the US, and this Putin's lapdog stuff is just US campaign propaganda.
On the other hand, now that a pal's gonna sit in the White House, we kinda have to dance more for their tune, at least drop the rhetoric of the "rebel" and naysayer.
I'm pretty sure there will be more support to Israel. Hungary and our govt has good relations with Israel, so I'm expecting more propaganda in the media (both Fidesz/govt and opposition) that licks that Heeb hiney shiny. And perhaps more active help in some form. I dunno about that usually there is 0 mentions about various cooperations and partnerships with Israel. Sometimes they show us a photo of Orbán and Netanyahu together.
Frankly all in all that Chinese angle will be the neuralgic point. They were building battery factory here, and perhaps electric car assembly plant. And there are old plans of the Belt and Road, like the railroad between Belgrade and Budapest. And whatnot (see the Chinese university and such).