Says EU economy won't recover. Germany declared the end of the welfare state, but they have no idea how to solve the problem. Consecutive French governments collapsing, even today - literally todayhttps://www.politico.eu/article/france-francois-bayrou-no-confidence-vote-live-updates/ V4 returns, both Czechs and Poles seems willing to cooperate again. Says the EU and Russia are in a financing race: they compete which one can finance the war. Russia gets weakened, but we are getting broken.
Ukraine is getting partitioned. Right now. Ukraine was a buffer zone between the West and Russia. Everyone had 50-50 influence. This was the situation until the war started. Now Westerners talk about security guarantees - in reality this means paritioning. Westerners already accepted that a Russian zone exists. This was the first step. The debate is how large this zone is - Crimea or 1-6 oblasts - but they don't argue that it does not exist. They debate how wide should be the second zone: the De-Militarized one. The third will be the Western zone - the one of the Westerners, which we still can't say anything sure about - beyond that they want to create it.
Europe's future. In 2008 the world's production: 23% US, 25% EU. 2024-25: 27% US, 17% EU. He blames this on the incompetent EU leadership. EU is heading to fregmentation. In the future we'll see the era of EU as the era of Europe's decline and becoming insignificant. When the EU was created these were the goals: - the EU should be a factor in global politics and global economy