>>54634
cont.

The War.
He tries to draw up the goals of participants. His interpretations as he puts it.
The key to understand the war: a process is going down, where the global market turns into competing regional markets, blocks, great power politics returns.
The leaders of the EU think: if they can strengthen the central bureaucracy of the EU, then the EU can be a leading power. He says this is false and mistake, but it will result in centralization.
Russian goal: restrict Western influence growth
Chinese goal: change the US dominated world order into a multipolar one, privileged access to Russia's economy for China
Ukrainian goal: avoid economc collapse by getting more Western funds, without it the Ukrainian state would go bankrupt within a day
European goal: keep Ukrainian military capabilities on, keep the US in the conflict
US goal: this is going under a change from Biden to Trump, make trade agreements with Russia, subordinate EU to US economically.

The EU is a lame duck while this war is on. The EU is totally reliant on US military help, we are defenseless. And since EU can't defend itself, it can't enact independent economic policies (see tariff negotiations).
Europe should make a security agreement with Moscow. Not just for herself, but for Ukraine too.
Europe also can't open towards China and India, for the Ukraine war is the reference point. Can't make trade agreements with them while accusing them financing Russia and the war.
Continuation of the war is a losing European strategy.