04/25/2020 (Sat) 08:36:18
>>36234>Given sufficient knowledge, it can be known for any future event whether it happens or not.
The problem is, you are mentally ill. You are capable of imagining certain abstract concepts which cannot exist in this universe or if they can, not in any way applicable to you. I refer you to Zenos paradoxes, you are probably familiar but I will talk one of them out:>That which is in locomotion must arrive at the half-way stage before it arrives at the goal.
If you must walk a path, you must reach half way. From that point to the end, you must reach half way again. Then half way again ad infinitum. In other words, your broken perception of reality means you cannot conceivably walk a garden path, let alone predict the future.
Essentially, the universe is in a constant state of motion and the only time is the present. There is no past or future and there is also no 'now' as a motionless state from which past or future can be observed and paths of motion predicted. That's not to say the universe isn't deterministic, it's just you have no vantage point outside of it to observe what you are imagining.>At best probability is then something like "an event seems probable to a person who lacks sufficient knowledge and/or is deluded enough to think his knowledge allows him to make reliable guesses of future events when in fact his guesses will be correct only 50% of the time given a sufficient number of guess-event pairs".
I once had a very interesting conversation with a statistician. Do you know how rare a 50% probability is? Extremely fucking rare, like to the point where it's basically never naturally observed. Try flipping a coin 10 times, you will very unlikely get a 50% split. In fact, the more you flip the coin the closer you get to a 70 30 split either way. The universe is observably unfair in this way.
I suppose to try and answer your question, from my understanding, probability exists but it's a matter of perspective. Some constants can be observed but again from a limited perspective which might not be so constant but that's beyond our comprehension.
I suppose put simply, don't break your brain over it.