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Pope Leo XIV @Pontifex - I express my profound closeness to the Palestinian people in Gaza, who continue to live in fear and to survive in unacceptable conditions, forced once again from their own lands. Before Almighty God, who commanded “Thou shalt not kill,” and throughout human history, every person always has an inviolable dignity, to be respected and upheld. I renew my appeal for a ceasefire, the release of hostages, and a negotiated diplomatic solution, in full respect of international humanitarian law. I invite everyone to join my heartfelt prayer that a dawn of peace and justice may soon arise.
https://x.com/Pontifex/status/1968283807704076535

PRAY.COM @pray - Give yourself grace...
https://x.com/pray/status/1968125340015792412

The Public Domain Review @PublicDomainRev - From fairy-rings to Lewis Carroll's Alice, mushrooms have long been entwined with the supernatural in art + literature. @MikeJayNet on early reports of mushroom-induced trips and how one species became established as a stock motif of Victorian fairyland.
https://publicdomainreview.org/essay/fungi-folklore-and-fairyland
https://x.com/PublicDomainRev/status/1967993741404164442

Quantus Insights @QuantusInsights - These forecasts didn’t fail because of volatility. They failed because of their own architecture that embedded bias at the structural level, amplified polling error rather than smoothing it, and rewarded the illusion of precision over actual accuracy.
FiveThirtyEight’s A/B/C grading system created a false hierarchy of accuracy. A-rated pollsters like Siena and Quinnipiac were lauded despite consistent misses, while more accurate firms like @Rasmussen_Poll were removed for “bias” and @trafalgar_group downgraded. Audiences and media alike assumed an A-rated pollster was “accurate,” without understanding its directional bias, house effects, or historical error rate.
This gatekeeping shielded failure and amplified signed error. FiveThirtyEight’s collapse in 2025 reflects its harm, but undoing its legacy will take years.
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Crémieux @cremieuxrecueil
Nov 5, 2024