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Shipwreckedcrew @shipwreckedcrew - Mark Greene, a popular incumbent with an underfunded opponent won 60-38 in 2024. Pres. Trump in a solid red state where Dems didn't spend money, won the District 60-38.
Marsha Blackburn won the district 60-38 in 2024 against an underfunded opponent - a State Legislator. Tenn 07 is her old district which she consistently won with 70%.
So it has changed.
Yesterday Van Epps in a Special Election against an opponent that the Dems threw money behind because of the polling won 54-45.
Vote Totals in this District:
2016 - 277,000
2018 - 254,000
2020 - 350,000
2022 - 180,000
2024 - 322,000
Special - 177,000
@MattBraynard has the best take on this - Dems primary voters riding the wave of progressive nutjobs like Mamdani nominate the craziest possible candidate among 3 State Legislators in the primary, throw all kinds of money at her after Virginia and New Jersey ....
The GOP has a fierce primary that produces a closely divided party in the district with the winner getting only 50%.
With all the attention and money the nutjob can absorb, they got a decent turnout for a Special and she loses by only 9%.
The Dems will pick other districts in 2026 because even with everything going their way they still lost handily.
The nutjob got 77% in the only county she won - Davidson (Nashville),