>>195072, >>195073, >>195074, >>195075, >>195076, >>195077, >>195078, >>195079, >>195080, >>195081, >>195082, >>195083, >>195084, >>195085, >>195086, >>195087 DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican - Yes, and unfortunately, George W. Bush became a scapegoat for democracy promotion. USAID took the exact opposite lesson from that incident - that they should have used more multilateralism. Parent Post: J Michael Waller @JMichaelWaller USAID eased the rise of Putin. Peter Stavrakis warned in 1996 that "the opportunity to move Russia decisively away from its autocratic past will have been lost, perhaps for several generations, and it is legitimate to inquire whether American assistance played a role in bringing this unfortunate result to pass." @DataRepublican @MikeBenzCyber https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/2107185900266418202
DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican - We might see a flip in Florida mail-ins where we are getting a historically large proportion of Republican mail-ins, as soon as tomorrow. The differential to 2024 mail-ins is now less than 1 percent. I'm still seeing inverse patterns where urban counties are running redder relative to 2024, while rural counties are running bluer relative to 2024. (The below map is a shift-from-2024 map.) Please note that all mail-ins only analysis are conflating voting preference with demographic analysis, and we will not have a firmer idea of the electorate until in-person early voting starts. But these are the 3 polling misses I'm watching closely for: • Overestimating the number of new or non-midterms voters • Overestimating under-40s turnout • Overestimating minority demographics --- Screenshot: Mail ballots · 2026 vs 2024 mail ballots https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/2107186743716061672