>>195072, >>195073, >>195074, >>195075, >>195076, >>195077, >>195078, >>195079, >>195080, >>195081, >>195082, >>195083, >>195084, >>195085, >>195086, >>195087, >>195088, >>195089, >>195090, >>195091, >>195092, >>195093, >>195094, >>195095, >>195096, >>195097, >>195098, >>195099, >>195100, >>195101, >>195102, >>195103, >>195104, >>195105, >>195106, >>195107, >>195108 James Spann @spann - TROPICS/THE WEEKEND: A trough of low pressure (Invest 92L) over the southwestern Gulf is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for development, a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days. The system is expected to drift east-northeastward through the middle portion of the week before turning northward. Most reliable models and their ensemble members bring the system to the Central Gulf Coast around Mobile Bay Saturday. Concerning intensity, this could be a strong tropical storm or even a hurricane at the time of landfall. The name will be Isaias. Isaias has potential to be a high impact event for the Gulf Coast and the state of Alabama, but it is important to note that it is still too early for a specific impact forecast for any place. There are many big events going on, including the National Shrimp Festival in Gulf Shores, the Alabama/Georgia football game in Tuscaloosa, and the Zach Bryan concert in Auburn. Saturday isn't looking good this morning based on the latest model output; it will be a day with lots of rain, and potentially lots of wind. Maybe even some risk of a few isolated brief tornadoes. But understand this could change based on the ultimate track and intensity of the tropical system. We will be much more specific tomorrow evening; this is when the system will have developed a core, and we get dropsonde data from hurricane hunter aircraft, which will be baked into the models. For event planners I would not make a decision until tomorrow night. https://x.com/spann/status/2107421066289094926
JD Vance @JDVance - Another day, another fraudster taken off these streets. Amazing work all around by our interagency partners! Quoted Post: FEMA @fema Last month, a North Carolina woman was sentenced to three years in prison and ordered to repay $30,631.59 to FEMA after pleading guilty to fraud involving disaster assistance. 1/5 ---