>>44114
Such a med centric view ignores the elephant in the room and aside from that it's too simplistic. The world now is much more like it was during the lead up to WW1, you have multiple actors with various gaols that often compete with each other while at the same time may also work with each other. So for example, Egypt and Sudan are allies in that scenario, I think he lumps them together due to supporting the same side in Libya however Sudan is upstream of Egypt and has been in support of the Ethiopian dam which directly threatens Egypt. Sudan is just as likely to fight a war against Egypt as it is to fight one alongside them against the Turkish backed Libyans. Turkey as well, could swing in multiple directions as could France.

And this all ignores China who is the greatest threat to the world and the most likely to cause WW3, many have linked them to WW1 Germany.