>>50115
>realignments in Syria
Maybe whole Middle East will shift a bit, with Saudis getting bit friendlier with Russia, and Turkey also has working relationship with them.
>Assad's reintegration
The region really needs some peace. So next war when?
>without Turkish interference Idlib would fall to the Syrian Army.
They definitely got a shield from Turkey, both on the ground and diplomatically. This is the only lifeline. And as long as Russian and Turkish relations and understanding is solid enough, they can be.
But I see one possible group that will pull the short straw: the Kurds.
>article: Egyptian plan
Yeah, the earthquake gave a good opportunity for a ripened situation. It would be good for the region to make relations a tad bit warmer with Israel. But here I also see someone pulling the short straw: the Palestinians.

>when does a failed coup become a civil war.
I'm not familiar with the current situation in Sudan to say how the situation evolved there. But in general I agree what you wrote. The coup fails to dislodge the regime, but gains enough momentum and destabilizes the regime enough so along the existing cracks the centers of power get divided, and form into opposing parties.