Nagorno-Karabakh War III ?
Bernd
09/20/2023 (Wed) 09:04
No.51055
del
Here's the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, based on liveuamap.
1. There was a push on behalf of Azerbaijan from Susha towards Stepanakert in the south.
1a. Azeris reported Armenians firing in the direction of Agdam.
2. Another push from Charektar to Gatevan in the north.
|. All around reported that firing continues in the whole line of contact.
?. Why there is seemingly no activity in these places?
The last conflict ended in a ceasefire on 2020 November 10th. Which means a pause, a halt in the war, but not an end of it. Azerbaijan gained territories which were held by Armenia since 1994. They acquired those lands in the first war after the dissolution of the Soviet Union which both countries were member states of.
Nagorno-Karabakh or Artsakh as Armenians call it is mostly inhabited by Armenians and the mother country wanted to secure it so they essentially conquered the land around it - with the Azerbaijani majority population on it. These were reclaimed by the Azeris in 2020. It seems they want more now.
According to the ceasefire agreement Russian peacekeepers were deployed to secure the corridor connecting Armenia and Artsakh. And perhaps other places too.
Additional information:
- on paper the Armed Forces of Armenia (AFA) has no presence in Nagorno-Karabakh, only local militias defending the place;
- the whole population of the region is ~150 000;
- in comparison: Armenia has 3 million, Azerbaijan 10 million.
The Azerbaijani Armed Forces (AAF) outmatches Artsakh's in every way, basically they have almost as many soldiers as the whole population of the place, and have limitless resources in comparison to the ten goats the Armenians have there.
So place your bets.