Bernd
02/20/2024 (Tue) 21:50
No.51677
del
02/20/2024 (Tue) 21:50
No.51677
del
>>51676
>In the past couple of days I had the feeling the Ukrainian army is done. It's retreat from now own. More cracks will follow and they'll have to fall back, and then from elsewhere to avoid encirclement. And then there will be very little prepared lines at all. And then Ukraine will be "demilitarized".
I think it's still far too early for that. Russia has been clearly winning for the past few months, and yet it can only manage slow, incremental territorial gains at a high cost. If it tried to mass troops for a "big arrow offensive", there would be no element of surprise and any deficiencies in officers, combined arms coordination and so on would become apparent. So slow advances like those taking place right now will continue, but maybe they'll happen in wider sectors of the front.
>In the past couple of days I had the feeling the Ukrainian army is done. It's retreat from now own. More cracks will follow and they'll have to fall back, and then from elsewhere to avoid encirclement. And then there will be very little prepared lines at all. And then Ukraine will be "demilitarized".
I think it's still far too early for that. Russia has been clearly winning for the past few months, and yet it can only manage slow, incremental territorial gains at a high cost. If it tried to mass troops for a "big arrow offensive", there would be no element of surprise and any deficiencies in officers, combined arms coordination and so on would become apparent. So slow advances like those taking place right now will continue, but maybe they'll happen in wider sectors of the front.