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...clandestinely, Israel-style, as I mentioned in a different context.
OTOH if beijing feels really confident that it can relatively quickly solve the issue militarily perhaps they would want to take the bait after all. Though AIUI knee-jerk reactions are quite uncharacteristic for China, and let's not forget that in this year already one other big country found itself "hooked" after misjudging the softness of the dangling bait and the animosity of the baiters at the other end of the fishing line.
I'm sure the speech-freedom gauge differs in east and west for different topics. But...
>You can get jailed for calling this thing a war.
I have heard these claims months ago. I suspect it's a fake. For example, I have seen clip from russian political talk show on TV where people call it war/vоijna. Maybe our local russian poster can clarify but seems to be BS. What does seem to be true is that one can get detained and fined for making "unauthorised" anti-war protests. Don't know if this is specifically about "antiwar protests" or about "unauthorised protests" in general, but anyway fines are apparently not high (I read about low $ hundreds) and most antiwar protest enthusiasm seems to have petered after those videos from March showing abuse/execution of rus/ldnr POW
For months before the deal mediated by Turkey, Moscow has been denying blocking non-military ships, as long as they use specific "green corridors". I'm sure it was not unconditional. For example, I have read that they wanted access to the ships so that they could be inspected for military equipment, and pic related from May has the UK MoD claiming that they wanted economic-war measures lifted.
On the other hand, Kiev has, after a long time of blaming rus for it, admitted to having deployed mines on its own shores to forestall a rus amphibious operation. This is corroborated by the UK MoD in the same pic (pixelated is some "intelligence" propaganda). In fact, at least one civilian has died after triggering a mine in the waters of an Odessa beach (vid related).
>Turkey blocks Russian ship
I know that Turkey, per the Montreux agreement, limits military ships from crossing the Bosphorus (ships from warring sides, including allied blocs like NATO, cannot cross, though those from Black Sea states can return to port). However, I don't know if non-military ships from Black Sea states can be blocked under that agreement. Maybe they aren't blocking them because I read last week about a shipment of grain from Russia to Syria seized in Lebanon after Ukraine accused it of carrying grain harvested from ukr territories under rus/lndr control.
- Last 27/7 there was a ukr suicide drone attack on the border checkpoint of the rus oblast of Bryansk. Ukr published the footage claiming they targeted some rus security service agents. Moscow said the men were actually citizens of Moldova doing some visa paperwork. Moldova's foreign affairs ministry confirmed these were their citizens: https://www.moldpres.md/en/news/2022/07/27/22005588, https://www.ipn.md/en/moldovan-dies-in-bryansk-region-blast-7967_1091320.html
. One was killed immediately, the other Moldovan citizen which in that article is reported as injured has since died too.
- Kiev has ordered the "mandatory evacuation" of residents of Donetsk oblast still under their control (said to be more than 200k). They claim this is done because they cannot not provide civilians with sufficient heating in upcoming months. I suspect they actually would like to use the urban areas as a battlefield while avoiding the criticism they will get if they again do as in Mariupol with people still there. Meanwhile there are ukr soldiers who have admitted that the locals are not loyal to Kiev and are waiting for the "liberators"