On the other hand, the deepstate map claims this.
I don't see it impossible that they make up a fantasy Russian breakthrough which they can successfully fantasy defeat by the end of the week. They also could put pressure on the Russians to live up the expectation of the map and make them careless, rack up some numbers of Russian dead, and make spectacular footages of Russians attacking and AFU droning them.
Any other mapping guys confirm this? What about Suryak and Rybar?

Ah he writes interesting stuff, he also gave a thought about what I just wrote in my previous post.
Some say that the Dobropilla-Kramatorsk road has been cut off. Unconfirmed. For now, I am waiting for visual confirmation of all information.
There has been a long debate among several analysts I have been following about whether this is a breakthrough and whether there is consolidation, given that there are no geolocated videos. We can talk about a “breakthrough” since the front has been breached over several days, since around June 30. Russian soldiers are now operating behind the lines, without anyone really knowing where they are. If this information were not verified, why would Deepstate publish a Russian-controlled zone extending to Zolotyi Kolodiaz? Why would the 1st Azov Corps and two units be announced as reinforcements? -Why would a series of Ukrainian analysts and soldiers speak out about it? -Why would President Zelensky acknowledge the Russian breakthrough at Dobropilla?
So for now just map by deepstate and noise in social media. Needs visual confirmation.
He also wrote he'll post full analysis today in English. Might check it in the evening.

I think this fortification segment is "behind" Kramatorsk (pic shows it's on the "right").
I wonder all this talk about Russians running out of tanks: why would Ukrainians bother digging anti-tank ditches if this was true? They clearly prepare against mechanized advance.

Trump's going down on memory lane during last press conference. Babbles about Orbán's wisdom.

So what options the US really has?
They always do the Containment in the background, but beyond that...
In my opinion real solution would be the Engagement, this most likely would work, and this would pull the poison teeth out - even if they acquired nukes.
But the US would not do that, unless circumstances change a lot. What she is willing to do is just Persuasion, and as recent events proved: they found a way to do an airstrike (probably result of decades long preparatory work) which was a combination of Israeli one with a fly-in fly-out US participation. So it was barely a US airstrike.
Anything else don't seem to be a real possibility. Invasion? Revolution? Insurgency? Coup?
In the past 45 years this is what the US did: containment and in the layer above trying to persuade Tehran occasionally. And now the airstrike - which is a huge exception, like a rare astronomical event, and only good for delaying the inevitable.
Will things change? Did recent events opened up some of the paths - like an insurgency of a minority? Did it closed surely other options - such as the rally round the flag effect blocked a chance for a revolution?
And put it in global perspective: how feasible would be to do some other moves: consider the threat at Taiwan would the US spend resources on an invasion?
And in more local perspective, would a larger turmoil in Iran shift the stability in the Middle East in the right or the wrong direction? And the book also points out: Iran acquiring nuclear weapons could also cause proliferation, if they have that, some neighbours at the gulf would also want 'em Pakistan already has.

Lot of interesting things in this book. I want to note another one: it seems the US finds everyone with nukes reasonable and trustable. The Russians, the Chinese, the British, the French, the Indian, the Pakistani, the North Korean and the Israeli are all fine but surely the Iranians the irrational ones who'd launch 'em. The authors do ask, would Iran really do? Or would Iran give nukes to her terrorist proxies? They have not gave even chemical weapons. Is there a real threat there?
Ofc it's more about that pesky proliferation. They don't mind those who have nukes, since can't do much about that, it's not a good idea to fuck with them either. But they could try prevent others to get it. If everyone had nukes, there won't be any county whom the US could bully.

>>54532
Serious omission. I noted how they here >>54316 call "punctuated military operations" but forgot to note that other parts is the policy tool called "aid to internal armed opposition forces".
So what the Brookings' authors wrote was essentially checking all the options of the other book.

I wanna add some stuff, again from the morals we learnt from US Foreign Policy in Perspective.
I can see their point on the US foreign policy being means driven. They have tools and they are put forward to use them even if:
- the chance of success is slim to none;
- they are sure they won't use them;
- they don't suit the job.
First as we saw at the example of Brazil the US doesn't start invasions against large countries with difficult terrain.
Afghanistan is 650K sqKm with an estimated population of 36-50 million people. Iraq is 440K sqKm, with 46 million, but the terrain is much more forgiving in the sense that it's not hilly. Compared to these Iran is 1,65 million sqKm large, 'bout three times of the average of the previous two. Population 95 million, about twice. Terrain is also difficult. It doesn't look like a country the US would invade.
Punctuated military operations are doomed to failure and not suitable for a regime change at all. Supporting internal armed oppositions isn't suited to bring regime change about. Still both are/were proposed for that reason.
The book doesn't contemplate airstrike as a possible regime change tool (although can be used in combination of a regime change tool to support the effect), but when the happening happened this year in the media analysts and propagandists speculated that the air campaign is done to cause regime change. Even tho Bibi said clearly they started them to destroy the nuclear program. Still the speculation was put forward over and over, that it might be in the background - I guess on "surely the Jew is lying" basis.

Still meditating on Which Path to Persia.
The authors say that Iran is a totalitarian hellhole, but it's hard to predict what they will do, and how they react, and they can change their position a lot, because one can never know whom they'll elect as a president and there are many interest groups and cliques and whatever.
So democracy is bad now, and Iran is not centralized?
But turn this around and let's take a look as Iran at the US. They see a fickle country with you can make a deal today, but the next POTUS could throw the deal into the trash tomorrow. Would Iran listen to the promises they make? And why would she listen?

>>54515
Are they expecting more to built beyond Australian needs? Will they produce for Japan, or perhaps other countries?
It could be interesting to look up naval ship manufacturing of the globe. Perhaps I'll do that. Trump complained they don't build enough.

Well I asked grok, and it gathered some data from 20 webpages, like half of those were Wikipedia.
Here's the summary of it's summary. Naval/military vessels.
Notable types and groups: aircraft carriers, destroyers, frigates and corvettes counts these as one category, it isn't wrong, submarines, littoral combat ships, patrol vessels, amphibious ships.
Largest global producers: China (50%), South Korea(28%), Japan(13%) - it sums this at 85%, not 91, so I assume the variation comes from the sources and yearly fluctuation. This is insanely disproportionate. Probably these numbers include commercial ships too - just by the glance I took at the sources.
Other notable producers: US, Russia, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, India (1%), Philippines, Vietnam, Turkey.
Aircraft carrier manufacturing in: China, US, India, France, UK. I'm not sure the latter two still produces them, or they built some and have potential capability to continue if need arises.

Here's a handful of links:
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/largest-navies-in-the-world - according to this India already has 2 CVs.
https://www.virtuemarine.nl/post/top-10-maritime-nations-leading-the-shipbuilding-industry
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/countries-dominate-global-shipbuilding/
https://www.marineinsight.com/know-more/top-10-ship-building-countries-in-the-world/
https://www.globalfirepower.com/navy-ships.php - Hungary #129 yaaaaaaaaaaaaay gib back my seas!

>>54517
Not all ships are the same so that does not help much. China has more ships than the US but most of those are small coastal ships.

The other competitor for this contract was German but their ship needed more crew and had a shorter life span so even though it was smaller than the Japanese one it would cost about the same over it's life time. Japanese ship is also configured to work with US navy ships so that helps us too. Plus there were probably diplomatic reasons, it makes more sense for us to work with Japan than Germany seeing as Germany has no presence or interest in this area anyway.

The UK recently build two, HMS Elizabeth(named after Elizabeth I not II) and HMS Prince of Wales. It's struggling to maintain it's navy though, but with the new funding they will get they may be able to finally maintain it properly, also personnel retention is an issue(that's the case in most western nations, hence why Australia wanted the ship with less crew).

>>54516
No, Just for us at the moment.

>>54519
India's ship building is rising, so the UK's future production is in a good hand.

Watched this movie, the loveless, with Willem Dafoe.

I liek Willem, but didn't like this movie. Literally had no plot or likeable characters. Everything kinda just sucked.

This is also Willem Dafoe's first movie he starred in.

>>54375
Not all good actors' career starts shiny.

Conclave. Enclave of cons.

Watched Bodies. Naked body with missing eye found in Whitechapel... I expected something like From Hell and I got... whatever this is.
It's not bad. Despite the classic Bri'ish wokist tropes it grabs the attention for the first half of the season, but then the second half falls flat.
This will be spoilers: if that guy traveled in time not just backwards to three places but one time to the future, why he did not travel 2 more times in the future, and why the villain and the scrawny tiny detective chick traveled only once and to the same place?

>>51329
>this is the thread
Sure why not. The situation is the result of the changes in "tech", although has social and political aspect. I think it's a bit early to blame it on ML.
We were told in the last decade or two that IT is a field with many opportunities for lack of professionals and exberts, so many went to IT and now it gets oversaturated perhaps. I dunno.
It's lot about how pushy the job seeker is, how he can sell himself (the world of whores we live in), and ofc what connections he has. For example on the Hungary the well connected web developers can get around $250 000 with a public contract for a couple pages WordPress site (for building and hosting it for 2 years). I'm not joking, was just in the news last week. Well, perhaps it's the juicy top. And probably they don't get to keep the whole sum, and have to give most of it to pal in the bureaucratic machine, I dunno, I don't see that part. So I suggest schmoozing with politicians and officials.
Thing is what makes you different than the next codemonkey? They all write in their shit how special they are and how they know everything. I think RMS wrote something that should work on FLOSS stuff, contributing to projects, which isn't a bad idea, that way one can build some contacts and find some work through them.

>>51331
>We were told in the last decade or two that IT is a field with many opportunities for lack of professionals and exberts, so many went to IT and now it gets oversaturated perhaps. I dunno.
That's what it is for the most part, a company may be hiring trainees/jr devs and they can get 6k for a bootcamp alone. It's crazy.
>For example on the Hungary the well connected web developers can get around $250 000 with a public contract for a couple pages WordPress site (for building and hosting it for 2 years). I'm not joking, was just in the news last week. Well, perhaps it's the juicy top. And probably they don't get to keep the whole sum, and have to give most of it to pal in the bureaucratic machine, I dunno, I don't see that part. So I suggest schmoozing with politicians and officials.
May be ole' money laundering
>Thing is what makes you different than the next codemonkey? They all write in their shit how special they are and how they know everything.
Well I personally believe I have a good foundations and that I am quite dedicated and can go to miles others may not. People recognized from me that I can really push the limits.
> I think RMS wrote something that should work on FLOSS stuff, contributing to projects, which isn't a bad idea, that way one can build some contacts and find some work through them.
I do search for OSS proyects here and there, but it's a bit complicated. I can never tell when a proyect is good or if it's just something that realistically has no use case. I have built myself with the .Net stack and back end development so I can't really just jump into a decompilation project with no C knowledge for example.

Oh and "Access mode" says "Authentication required".

Ofc that authoritarian police surveillance state we call the United Kingdom arrived to a point where they can put into practice the Online Safety Act of 2023.
While George Orwell turning in his grave they try to realize everything he wrote in 1984 by denying access to porn everything they deem dangerous to children, opting with the "think of the children" excuse, instead of terrorism concerns this time.
Instead of making the parents' responsibility to know what their dear children watching and doing on the internet, they make everyone on the globe responsible for them. So as I put something on the internet, am I the father of ~14 million Bri'ish minors **data from here: https://data.unicef.org/how-many/how-many-children-under-18-are-there-in-the-uk/**?
Websites, platform all over the world started to demand age verification, and not that bs "click here if you are 18 to enter" bs, but actual shit like submitting ID or face recognition and whatnot. Others probably went with the cheaper "ban all UK IPs" solution.
Why? Because the UK government said they'll take measures against those who don't do such things. Such as issuing fines, but they also can just block those websites at the UK based ISPs. Exactly how Russia censors the internet. Yes the UK reached the level of Russian freedom. Short heda Island Slavs.

Now many in the UK who aren't just using Facebook and Instagram, but sites like Pornhub Wikipedia and Onlyfans many others started to use VPNs. Probably asked ShatGPT first what to do about this situation. Or Grok if the previous one censored the answer for the suspicion of terrorist activity.
The UK govt response is: "oh no people most of whom aren't U18 BTW because the vast majority of zoomers beyond poking the smartphone icons can't fathom tech concepts like networking avoiding our surveillance parent control solution we should ban VPNs".

Luckily the Bri'ish people also like freedom unlike their Stalinist overlords Churchill is turning in his grave, they started to raise their voices that this Act might not be a good idea, please dear govt. think through it again.
Good Luck Bri'ish people!

They were launched yesterday and they are docking sometimes soon today. It needed 24 hours to get onto the same orbit as the ISS.

Firstpost reports from the Indian viewpoint.
>over 200 space startups
Dang. They need a lotta spaec.

They are coming back tomorrow at 11am UTC they are undocking from the ISS. I still haven't watched any videos of their, despite on youtube there's hours long stuff. Perhaps that's why.
I heard with one ear Orbán had a chat with Tibi not long after they arrived to the space station.

In theory they land today around noon, in the Pacific somewhere towards Californee.

Watching, listening this:
Ax-4 Mission | Return
https://yewtu.be/watch?v=PEgeSEsNbKI
https://youtube.com/watch?v=PEgeSEsNbKI [Embed]
It's so fucking boring. A chick and a dude chitchatting and nothing happening.
There's some data displayed of the return vehicle (called Dragon or whatever), speed, height, time, current place over the globe.
Sometimes they cut to the cockpit where nothing happens, it's an automated return..
>the astronauts have no control but have situational awareness
Great.
Sometimes they cut to the control room at wherever, where people staring at monitors.
Literally they could do everything all this but not the actual spacefilght, that is entirely unnecessary.
As I mentioned they "splashdown" near California, close to Hollywood where they shoot the space footage. Nah i do believe they were in space.